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Liverpool vs Fulham: Prediction and Preview

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Liverpool will look to keep touch with the Premier League summit when they welcome Fulham to Anfield on Sunday.

A Trent Alexander-Arnold equaliser was enough to earn a 1-1 draw at title rivals Manchester City last weekend, leaving Liverpool two points and two places behind early leaders Arsenal in the league table.

With Arsenal and Man City both at home this weekend as well, against Wolves and Tottenham respectively, it’s vital Liverpool don’t slip up on Sunday, with the Reds looking to make it seven wins from their first seven home league games this season.

Liverpool have won 19 Premier League matches in 2023 and registered at least 20 wins in all seven previous full years under Jürgen Klopp’s management. They last won 20+ league games for eight years in a row between 1971 and 1980 (10 in a row), while only two managers have ever won 20+ Premier League games in eight successive calendar years: Arsene Wenger (13, 1998-2010) and Sir Alex Ferguson (eight, 2005-12).

Part of Liverpool’s success has been their ability to come from behind, losing just one of their last 11 Premier League games when conceding first (W4 D6), which was after going 2-1 down in the 96th minute at Spurs in September after having two players sent off. They have won the most points from losing positions in the competition this season (12).

Eight of Fulham’s last nine Premier League goals have come in the second half, though Liverpool have conceded just three goals after half-time in the top flight this season, failing to win any of those three games (D2 L1).

Fulham have done well on Merseyside in recent times, winning four of their last five away league games against Everton and Liverpool, having taken maximum points on just one of their first 55 such visits in the league beforehand.

Liverpool have lost just one of their last 10 Premier League games against Fulham (W7 D2), a 1-0 home loss in March 2021.

Fulham have scored just four goals in 16 Premier League away games against Liverpool, and never more than once in a match. It’s the lowest goals-per-game ratio (0.25) of any team to play more than 10 away games against an opponent in the competition.

The most recent meeting between the two clubs was back in May, with Mohamed Salah scoring for the eighth home game in a row, converting a penalty in the 39th minute as Liverpool claimed a 1-0 victory.

Liverpool are the second-biggest favourites among the Premier League’s action on Matchday 14, with their 63.6% probability of victory only bettered by Manchester City (67%) at home to Spurs, according to the Opta supercomputer.

Fulham are given just a 13.7% chance of picking up a shock away win at Anfield, while the teams shared the spoils in 22.7% of the 10,000 simulations conducted ahead of this weekend.

Liverpool are third, yet they are given a higher chance of winning the Premier League title than current leaders Arsenal, with their likelihood of lifting the famous trophy rated at 10.2% compared to the Gunners’ 9.3%.



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